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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 19 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 19 August 2022. Estoril vs Rio Ave sits top on 50% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
Rio Ave
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 58%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 17%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 58%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
0 : 1 FT
Galatasaray
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
6 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
0 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 38%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 1 FT
Valladolid
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#8 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
1 : 2 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Seraing United
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
3 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
3 : 3 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
3 : 2 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Palermo
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
2 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 2 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
0 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 21%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 19 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Estoril vs Rio Ave at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.