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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 20 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 20 August 2022. Swindon Town vs Rochdale sits top on 53% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two · England
Swindon Town
3 : 0 FT
Rochdale
✓ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 2 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#4 Championship · England
West Brom
5 : 2 FT
Hull City
✓ Win 41%
Draw 34%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#5 Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
5 : 2 FT
Coritiba
✓ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#6 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 League One · England
Bolton
0 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Valenciennes
0 : 0 FT
Quevilly
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 2 FT
Arouca
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#10 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Championship · England
QPR
1 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#12 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
2 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Niort
2 : 1 FT
Paris FC
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#14 Premier League · England
Everton
1 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#15 League One · England
Shrewsbury
0 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#16 League One · England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Wisla Plock
2 : 1 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#18 League Two · England
Gillingham
0 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#19 League One · England
Barnsley
0 : 3 FT
Wycombe
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Annecy
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 20 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Swindon Town vs Rochdale at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.