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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 5 August 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 5 August 2022. Hebei Zhongji vs Chengdu Better City sits top on 41% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 41% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Hebei Zhongji
0 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 29%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#4 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Piast Gliwice
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
4 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 0 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 32%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 FT
Arsenal
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#9 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
0 : 2 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
3 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
#14 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 0 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Seongnam FC
1 : 4 FT
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Win 33%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
1 : 3 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 5 August 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hebei Zhongji vs Chengdu Better City at 41% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.