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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 15 May 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Napoli vs Genoa at 53% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
3 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
2 : 2 FT
Apollon Smirnis
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
3 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
5 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 56%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 3 FT
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
1 : 3 FT
Nublense
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 65%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
1 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 14%
Draw 21%
Win 65%
BTTS No 54%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
1 : 2 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#11 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#12 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
2 : 3 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 17%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 3 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
2 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#19 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 0 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 57%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Gornik Zabrze
4 : 2 FT
Górnik Łęczna
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 15 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Napoli vs Genoa at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.