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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Thursday 10 March 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Thursday 10 March 2022. Norwich vs Chelsea sits top on 57% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 26%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies four of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 38%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Norwich
1 : 3 FT
Chelsea
Win 7%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Chelsea Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 2 FT
Al-Faisaly FC
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 64% Al Taawon Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Wolves
4 : 0 FT
Watford
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Southampton
1 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
0 : 3 FT
Aston Villa
Win 23%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
2 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
2 : 1 FT
Ajman
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
3 : 0 FT
Abha
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Thursday 10 March 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Chelsea at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.