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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Tuesday 27 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 27 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Qingdao Huanghai vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 46% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
1 : 4 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 10%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 29%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#3 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
4 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 21%
Draw 36%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 37%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 0 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
4 : 0 FT
Falkenbergs FF
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
#8 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
2 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 30%
Draw 34%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 27 July 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Qingdao Huanghai vs Shenzhen Ruby FC at 46% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.