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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 25 July 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 25 July 2021. Ried vs Austria Vienna sits top on 70% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 45%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga · Austria
Ried
2 : 1 FT
Austria Vienna
Win 5%
Draw 26%
Win 69%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Austria Vienna Clean Sheet 70%
#2 Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
1 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 5%
Draw 26%
Win 69%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 73% Wolfsberger AC Clean Sheet 70%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice
2 : 3 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 24%
Draw 49%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 89% BTTS No 77% Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
2 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 28%
Draw 46%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 84% BTTS No 72%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 14%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 63%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 59%
#6 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
3 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 14%
Draw 34%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
0 : 0 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
Win 14%
Draw 34%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SV Sandhausen
0 : 2 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 14%
Draw 34%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 FT
FC UFA
Win 14%
Draw 22%
Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#10 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen
3 : 2 FT
Antwerp
Win 17%
Draw 38%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#11 Primera División · Chile
Palestino
2 : 0 FT
Santiago Wanderers
✓ Win 43%
Draw 37%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 2 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 21%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 65%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Santos
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 1 FT
Oleksandria
Win 32%
Draw 43%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#15 Premier League · Ukraine
Desna
3 : 0 FT
Chornomorets
Win 32%
Draw 43%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Honka
1 : 1 FT
Lahti
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Flamengo
5 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
✓ Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#18 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
1 : 0 FT
Ilves
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#19 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
0 : 2 FT
Inter Turku
Win 19%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#20 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 22%
Draw 39%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 25 July 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ried vs Austria Vienna at 70% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.