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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as SHANGHAI SIPG edge out Yunnan Yukun 2-3.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Yunnan Yukun 2-3 at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 9, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Yunnan Yukun 1.17 xG and SHANGHAI SIPG 2.00 xG, a combined 3.16. The scoreboard read 2-3 for 5 actual goals. Yunnan Yukun beat their projection by 0.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. SHANGHAI SIPG outscored their 2.00 projection by 1.0. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Yunnan Yukun attack 0.66 / defence 0.96 against SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.43 / defence 1.02, drawn from 8/37 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Yunnan Yukun 20% | Draw 25% | SHANGHAI SIPG 55%, with SHANGHAI SIPG to win its most likely call at 55%. The scoreboard confirmed the model's leading pick.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 5, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 84% and landed. Over 3.5 was 39% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The data earned its keep here, calling the bulk of the fixture correctly.

💡 Key Insights