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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Wuhan Three Towns cruise to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Yunnan Yukun.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Wuhan Three Towns beat Yunnan Yukun 3-1 at Wuhan Sports Centre, Regular Season - 6, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Wuhan Three Towns 1.69 xG and Yunnan Yukun 2.02 xG, a combined 3.72. The scoreboard read 3-1 for 4 actual goals. Wuhan Three Towns beat their projection by 1.3 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Yunnan Yukun landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Wuhan Three Towns attack 0.77 / defence 1.30 against Yunnan Yukun attack 1.07 / defence 1.35, drawn from 35/5 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Wuhan Three Towns 31% | Draw 24% | Yunnan Yukun 44%, with Yunnan Yukun to win its most likely call at 44%. The actual Wuhan Three Towns win had been the model's second-ranked read at 31%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 72%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 90% and landed. Over 3.5 was 51% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 72% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights