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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Tianjin Teda cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Tianjin Teda beat Dalian Zhixing 2-0 at Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Regular Season - 21, in the Super League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Tianjin Teda 1.43 xG and Dalian Zhixing 0.85 xG, a combined 2.27. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Dalian Zhixing landed 0.8 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Tianjin Teda attack 0.78 / defence 0.78 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.79 / defence 1.02, drawn from 50/20 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Tianjin Teda 50% | Draw 29% | Dalian Zhixing 21%, with Tianjin Teda to win its most likely call at 50%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 67% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 42% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Tianjin Teda 60%, Dalian Zhixing 25%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 48%, which matched the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Tianjin Teda's trading profile (20 games, 9 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not.

Dalian Zhixing's trading profile (20 games, 9 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 35% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and conceded here; they fail to score in 30% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Tianjin Teda 1.50 PPG, Dalian Zhixing 1.45 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Tianjin Teda win broke the near-deadlock. Tianjin Teda (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.11 average — tighter than their form line. Dalian Zhixing (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 0.89 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The numbers read this fixture well — the outcome largely followed the script the data laid out beforehand.

💡 Key Insights