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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

12:35

Venue

Longquanyi Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sichuan Jiuniu Win

49%

Sichuan Jiuniu

2.03

21%

Draw

4.71

30%

Shandong Luneng

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.6%

Draw

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.19

Sichuan Jiuniu xG

Total xG

3.88

1.69

Shandong Luneng xG

49%
21%
30%
Sichuan JiuniuDrawShandong Luneng

2.03

49%

Home win

4.71

21%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

74%

Over 2.5

1.35

26%

Under 2.5

3.85

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.68

Clean Sheet

18%

Sichuan Jiuniu

5.41

11%

Shandong Luneng

8.97

Win to Nil

9%

Sichuan Jiuniu

11.01

3%

Shandong Luneng

30.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.1 3.5 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
1 4.5 7.6 6.4 3.6 1.5 0.5
2 5.0 8.4 7.1 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 3.6 6.1 5.2 2.9 1.2 0.4
4 2.0 3.4 2.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.194
λ Away (xG) 1.689
Total xG 3.883
League avg home goals 1.797
League avg away goals 1.367
Sichuan Jiuniu attack strength 1.082
Sichuan Jiuniu defence strength 1.175
Shandong Luneng attack strength 1.051
Shandong Luneng defence strength 1.128
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50