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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Thu 26 Jun 2025

12:35

Venue

Pudong Football Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT
📰

Dominant SHANGHAI SIPG run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Dalian Zhixing.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SHANGHAI SIPG beat Dalian Zhixing 3-0 at Pudong Football Stadium, Regular Season - 15, in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SHANGHAI SIPG 1.90 xG and Dalian Zhixing 0.98 xG, a combined 2.88. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. SHANGHAI SIPG beat their projection by 1.1 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Dalian Zhixing landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SHANGHAI SIPG attack 1.03 / defence 0.97 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.76 / defence 1.11, drawn from 44/14 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SHANGHAI SIPG 59% | Draw 22% | Dalian Zhixing 19%, with SHANGHAI SIPG to win its most likely call at 59%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 78% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 53% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights

Model Over/Under 2.5 landed as modelled — 55% Over 2.5 probability, 3 goals scored.
Model BTTS bucked the model — 53% projected, one side was shut out.

⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.