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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shandong Luneng Win

65%

Shandong Luneng

1.54

21%

Draw

4.83

14%

Changchun Yatai

6.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Shandong Luneng xG

Total xG

3.00

0.90

Changchun Yatai xG

65%
21%
14%
Shandong LunengDrawChangchun Yatai

1.54

65%

Home win

4.83

21%

Draw

6.93

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

41%

Shandong Luneng

2.45

12%

Changchun Yatai

8.25

Win to Nil

27%

Shandong Luneng

3.77

2%

Changchun Yatai

57.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.5 9.4 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
2 11.0 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.8 6.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 4.1 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 1.5 0.7 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.110
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 3.005
League avg home goals 1.760
League avg away goals 1.359
Shandong Luneng attack strength 1.161
Shandong Luneng defence strength 0.856
Changchun Yatai attack strength 0.770
Changchun Yatai defence strength 1.033
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49