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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

12:35

Venue

Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shandong Luneng Win

40%

Shandong Luneng

2.49

23%

Draw

4.35

37%

Beijing Guoan

2.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

7.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.4%

Draw

2 – 2

7.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Shandong Luneng xG

Total xG

3.98

1.95

Beijing Guoan xG

40%
23%
37%
Shandong LunengDrawBeijing Guoan

2.49

40%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

2.71

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

76%

Over 2.5

1.32

24%

Under 2.5

4.17

56%

Over 3.5

1.79

44%

Under 3.5

2.27

37%

Over 4.5

2.70

63%

Under 4.5

1.59

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

76%

BTTS Yes

1.32

24%

BTTS No

4.09

Clean Sheet

14%

Shandong Luneng

7.01

13%

Beijing Guoan

7.61

Win to Nil

6%

Shandong Luneng

17.48

5%

Beijing Guoan

20.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.9 3.7 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.4
1 3.8 7.4 7.2 4.7 2.3 0.9
2 3.9 7.5 7.3 4.8 2.3 0.9
3 2.6 5.1 5.0 3.2 1.6 0.6
4 1.3 2.6 2.5 1.6 0.8 0.3
5 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.029
λ Away (xG) 1.947
Total xG 3.976
League avg home goals 1.764
League avg away goals 1.319
Shandong Luneng attack strength 1.236
Shandong Luneng defence strength 0.987
Beijing Guoan attack strength 1.496
Beijing Guoan defence strength 0.931
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52