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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Stalemate at Qingdao Youth Island's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Qingdao Guzhenkou University City Sports Center, Regular Season - 14, as Qingdao Youth Island and Yunnan Yukun drew 0-0 in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Qingdao Youth Island 1.91 xG and Yunnan Yukun 1.41 xG, a combined 3.32. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Qingdao Youth Island fell 1.9 short of their projected output. Yunnan Yukun landed 1.4 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Qingdao Youth Island attack 0.99 / defence 1.09 against Yunnan Yukun attack 0.92 / defence 1.15, drawn from 42/13 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Qingdao Youth Island 49% | Draw 24% | Yunnan Yukun 28%, with Qingdao Youth Island to win its most likely call at 49%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 24% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 85% and missed. Over 3.5 was 42% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 65% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights