Most Likely Outcome
Shandong Luneng Win
34%
2.90
27%
3.70
38%
2.60
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
1 – 0
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.20
Qingdao Jonoon xG
Total xG
2.49
1.29
Shandong Luneng xG
Qingdao JonoonDrawShandong Luneng
2.90
34%
Home win
3.70
27%
Draw
2.60
38%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
11%
Over 4.5
9.09
89%
Under 4.5
1.12
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
28%
3.63
30%
3.33
Win to Nil
10%
10.52
12%
8.65
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 10.7 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 12.8 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.0 | 7.7 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.203
λ Away (xG)
1.288
Total xG
2.491
League avg home goals
1.652
League avg away goals
1.120
Qingdao Jonoon attack strength
0.721
Qingdao Jonoon defence strength
1.076
Shandong Luneng attack strength
1.069
Shandong Luneng defence strength
1.010
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
37 / 37