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Stalemate at Qingdao Jonoon's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Qingdao Jonoon and Qingdao Youth Island finished level at 0-0 at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Regular Season - 6, in the Super League. It was 0-0 at the break. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Qingdao Jonoon 2.06 xG and Qingdao Youth Island 1.21 xG, a combined 3.27. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Qingdao Jonoon fell 2.1 short of their projected output. Qingdao Youth Island landed 1.2 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Qingdao Jonoon attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Qingdao Youth Island attack 0.89 / defence 1.31, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Qingdao Jonoon 57% | Draw 21% | Qingdao Youth Island 22%, with Qingdao Jonoon to win its most likely call at 57%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 21% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 84% and missed. Over 3.5 was 41% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 49% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Qingdao Jonoon 42%, Qingdao Youth Island 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Qingdao Jonoon's trading profile (60 games, 30 home) set some clear expectations: they score before half-time in 72% of games, and here they did not; BTTS lands in 43% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 45% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Qingdao Youth Island's trading profile (60 games, 30 away) set some clear expectations: they score before half-time in 80% of games, and here they did not; BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 27% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Qingdao Jonoon 0.90 PPG, Qingdao Youth Island 1.20 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Qingdao Jonoon (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.37 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.43 average — tighter than their form line. Qingdao Youth Island (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.20 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.80 average — tighter than their form line.

In-Play Signals

Qingdao Youth Island controlled the ball (60%). The model had leaned the other way, toward Qingdao Jonoon; and the extra possession only earned a share of the spoils. Qingdao Jonoon shot more often (11 to 8, 3 on target). The game stayed goalless into the break before it came to life.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights

⚡ Key Moments

📊 Statistics