Most Likely Outcome
Qingdao Jonoon Win
50%
1.98
23%
4.38
27%
3.75
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.83
Qingdao Jonoon xG
Total xG
3.11
1.28
Hangzhou Greentown xG
Qingdao JonoonDrawHangzhou Greentown
1.98
50%
Home win
4.38
23%
Draw
3.75
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.65
39%
BTTS No
2.54
Clean Sheet
28%
3.59
16%
6.27
Win to Nil
14%
7.11
4%
23.49
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 10.4 | 6.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.835
λ Away (xG)
1.278
Total xG
3.113
League avg home goals
1.813
League avg away goals
1.136
Qingdao Jonoon attack strength
1.000
Qingdao Jonoon defence strength
1.043
Hangzhou Greentown attack strength
1.079
Hangzhou Greentown defence strength
1.012
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
32 / 32