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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Qingdao Jonoon and Dalian Zhixing share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Qingdao Jonoon and Dalian Zhixing finished level at 1-1 at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, Regular Season - 4, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Qingdao Jonoon 1.72 xG and Dalian Zhixing 1.22 xG, a combined 2.94. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Qingdao Jonoon attack 0.82 / defence 0.99 against Dalian Zhixing attack 0.83 / defence 1.22, drawn from 33/3 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Qingdao Jonoon 48% | Draw 26% | Dalian Zhixing 26%, with Qingdao Jonoon to win its most likely call at 48%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 26%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 56%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 80% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 59% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights