Most Likely Outcome
Shanghai Shenhua Win
36%
2.76
27%
3.68
37%
2.73
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.5%
Away win
1 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Henan Jianye xG
Total xG
2.47
1.24
Shanghai Shenhua xG
Henan JianyeDrawShanghai Shenhua
2.76
36%
Home win
3.68
27%
Draw
2.73
37%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
29%
3.45
29%
3.42
Win to Nil
10%
9.53
11%
9.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 12.9 | 8.0 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.9 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.6 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.230
λ Away (xG)
1.238
Total xG
2.468
League avg home goals
1.654
League avg away goals
1.129
Henan Jianye attack strength
0.782
Henan Jianye defence strength
0.932
Shanghai Shenhua attack strength
1.178
Shanghai Shenhua defence strength
0.951
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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