Most Likely Outcome
Dalian Zhixing Win
56%
1.78
22%
4.55
22%
4.59
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.2%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.94
Dalian Zhixing xG
Total xG
3.07
1.13
Yunnan Yukun xG
Dalian ZhixingDrawYunnan Yukun
1.78
56%
Home win
4.55
22%
Draw
4.59
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.73
42%
BTTS No
2.37
Clean Sheet
32%
3.09
14%
6.94
Win to Nil
18%
5.49
3%
31.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 10.2 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.9 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.7 | 6.4 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.938
λ Away (xG)
1.128
Total xG
3.066
League avg home goals
1.666
League avg away goals
1.102
Dalian Zhixing attack strength
1.059
Dalian Zhixing defence strength
0.797
Yunnan Yukun attack strength
1.284
Yunnan Yukun defence strength
1.098
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
37 / 37