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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 6, as Dalian Zhixing and Tianjin Teda drew 1-1 in the Super League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 1.59 xG and Tianjin Teda 1.51 xG, a combined 3.10. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.94 / defence 0.94 against Tianjin Teda attack 1.09 / defence 1.03, drawn from 5/35 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 38% | Draw 27% | Tianjin Teda 34%, with Dalian Zhixing to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 60%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 64% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights