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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Shock result as Dalian Zhixing defy the odds to beat Hangzhou Greentown 1-0.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Dalian Zhixing beat Hangzhou Greentown 1-0 at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Regular Season - 16, in the Super League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Dalian Zhixing 1.24 xG and Hangzhou Greentown 1.66 xG, a combined 2.90. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. Hangzhou Greentown landed 1.7 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Dalian Zhixing attack 0.74 / defence 1.02 against Hangzhou Greentown attack 1.23 / defence 1.00, drawn from 15/45 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Dalian Zhixing 29% | Draw 24% | Hangzhou Greentown 47%, with Hangzhou Greentown to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual Dalian Zhixing win had been the model's second-ranked read at 29%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 55%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 79% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 58% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 0 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss). A poor return for the projections: the match defied the majority of what the numbers expected.

💡 Key Insights