Most Likely Outcome
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win
40%
2.53
28%
3.55
32%
3.10
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.2%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
0 – 1
10.7%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.23
Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
Total xG
2.32
1.08
Henan Jianye xG
Chongqing Tongliang LongDrawHenan Jianye
2.53
40%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
3.10
32%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.13
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
29%
3.42
Win to Nil
13%
7.47
9%
10.61
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.9 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 8.1 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.231
λ Away (xG)
1.084
Total xG
2.315
League avg home goals
1.715
League avg away goals
1.176
Chongqing Tongliang Long attack strength
0.886
Chongqing Tongliang Long defence strength
1.051
Henan Jianye attack strength
0.876
Henan Jianye defence strength
0.810
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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