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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

12:35

Venue

Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Chengdu Better City Win

63%

Chengdu Better City

1.60

25%

Draw

3.93

12%

Changchun Yatai

8.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Chengdu Better City xG

Total xG

2.46

0.67

Changchun Yatai xG

63%
25%
12%
Chengdu Better CityDrawChangchun Yatai

1.60

63%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

8.38

12%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

51%

Chengdu Better City

1.96

17%

Changchun Yatai

5.98

Win to Nil

32%

Chengdu Better City

3.13

2%

Changchun Yatai

50.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 5.7 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.3 10.3 3.4 0.8 0.1
2 13.7 9.2 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 8.1 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 3.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.788
λ Away (xG) 0.672
Total xG 2.460
League avg home goals 1.821
League avg away goals 1.297
Chengdu Better City attack strength 1.068
Chengdu Better City defence strength 0.653
Changchun Yatai attack strength 0.793
Changchun Yatai defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53