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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

12:35

Venue

Workers' Stadium

Competition

Super League

China

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Beijing Guoan Win

43%

Beijing Guoan

2.35

24%

Draw

4.10

33%

Shandong Luneng

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Beijing Guoan xG

Total xG

3.52

1.65

Shandong Luneng xG

43%
24%
33%
Beijing GuoanDrawShandong Luneng

2.35

43%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

70%

BTTS Yes

1.44

30%

BTTS No

3.29

Clean Sheet

19%

Beijing Guoan

5.18

15%

Shandong Luneng

6.55

Win to Nil

8%

Beijing Guoan

12.18

5%

Shandong Luneng

19.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 4.8 4.0 2.2 0.9 0.3
1 5.5 9.1 7.5 4.1 1.7 0.6
2 5.2 8.6 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.5
3 3.3 5.4 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.5 2.5 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.879
λ Away (xG) 1.645
Total xG 3.524
League avg home goals 1.689
League avg away goals 1.531
Beijing Guoan attack strength 1.156
Beijing Guoan defence strength 0.727
Shandong Luneng attack strength 1.477
Shandong Luneng defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 37