Most Likely Outcome
U. Catolica Win
41%
2.44
31%
3.18
27%
3.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.1%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
15.0%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.07
U. Catolica xG
Total xG
1.90
0.82
Coquimbo Unido xG
U. CatolicaDrawCoquimbo Unido
2.44
41%
Home win
3.18
31%
Draw
3.64
27%
Away win
Goals Markets
57%
Over 1.5
1.75
43%
Under 1.5
2.33
30%
Over 2.5
3.33
70%
Under 2.5
1.43
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.71
63%
BTTS No
1.59
Clean Sheet
44%
2.28
34%
2.93
Win to Nil
18%
5.55
9%
10.66
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.0 | 12.3 | 5.1 | 1.4 | 0.3 | – |
| 1 | 16.1 | 13.3 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.075
λ Away (xG)
0.822
Total xG
1.897
League avg home goals
1.438
League avg away goals
0.963
U. Catolica attack strength
1.026
U. Catolica defence strength
0.888
Coquimbo Unido attack strength
0.960
Coquimbo Unido defence strength
0.729
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
33 / 33