Most Likely Outcome
York United Win
50%
1.99
26%
3.85
24%
4.19
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.2%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.87
York United xG
Total xG
3.13
1.25
Vancouver FC xG
York UnitedDrawVancouver FC
1.99
50%
Home win
3.85
26%
Draw
4.19
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.65
Clean Sheet
29%
3.51
15%
6.51
Win to Nil
14%
6.99
4%
27.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.2 | 10.3 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.874
λ Away (xG)
1.255
Total xG
3.129
League avg home goals
1.810
League avg away goals
1.268
York United attack strength
1.032
York United defence strength
0.989
Vancouver FC attack strength
1.001
Vancouver FC defence strength
1.004
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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