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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 13 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

York Lions Stadium

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

York United Win

63%

York United

1.60

23%

Draw

4.27

14%

Valour

7.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.9%

Home win

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.95

York United xG

Total xG

2.77

0.82

Valour xG

63%
23%
14%
York UnitedDrawValour

1.60

63%

Home win

4.27

23%

Draw

7.19

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

44%

York United

2.28

14%

Valour

7.02

Win to Nil

28%

York United

3.63

2%

Valour

50.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 5.1 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 12.2 10.0 4.1 1.1 0.2
2 11.9 9.8 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 7.7 6.3 2.6 0.7 0.1
4 3.8 3.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.949
λ Away (xG) 0.822
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.513
League avg away goals 1.338
York United attack strength 0.896
York United defence strength 0.781
Valour attack strength 0.787
Valour defence strength 1.439
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 40