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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

York Lions Stadium

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Forge Win

30%

York United

3.31

30%

Draw

3.34

40%

Forge

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

York United xG

Total xG

2.41

1.30

Forge xG

30%
30%
40%
York UnitedDrawForge

3.31

30%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

27%

York United

3.68

33%

Forge

3.01

Win to Nil

8%

York United

12.19

13%

Forge

7.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 11.8 7.7 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.9 13.0 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.5 7.1 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.102
λ Away (xG) 1.303
Total xG 2.405
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.228
York United attack strength 1.117
York United defence strength 0.833
Forge attack strength 1.274
Forge defence strength 0.659
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45