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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

York Lions Stadium

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Forge Win

23%

York United

4.31

30%

Draw

3.38

47%

Forge

2.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

York United xG

Total xG

2.59

1.55

Forge xG

23%
30%
47%
York UnitedDrawForge

4.31

23%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.12

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

21%

York United

4.74

35%

Forge

2.83

Win to Nil

5%

York United

20.40

17%

Forge

5.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 11.6 9.0 4.7 1.8 0.6
1 7.8 12.1 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.0 6.3 4.9 2.5 1.0 0.3
3 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.039
λ Away (xG) 1.555
Total xG 2.594
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.413
York United attack strength 0.978
York United defence strength 1.045
Forge attack strength 1.053
Forge defence strength 0.852
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31