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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

01:00

Venue

York Lions Stadium

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cavalry FC Win

33%

York United

3.02

30%

Draw

3.34

37%

Cavalry FC

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 0

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

York United xG

Total xG

2.69

1.39

Cavalry FC xG

33%
30%
37%
York UnitedDrawCavalry FC

3.02

33%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.30

Clean Sheet

25%

York United

4.00

27%

Cavalry FC

3.67

Win to Nil

8%

York United

12.09

10%

Cavalry FC

9.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
1 8.9 12.3 8.5 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.0 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 2.5 3.5 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.386
Total xG 2.687
League avg home goals 1.300
League avg away goals 1.439
York United attack strength 1.069
York United defence strength 1.082
Cavalry FC attack strength 0.891
Cavalry FC defence strength 0.936
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 32 / 31