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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

York Lions Stadium

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

York United Win

44%

York United

2.25

29%

Draw

3.46

27%

Atlético Ottawa

3.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

York United xG

Total xG

2.80

1.20

Atlético Ottawa xG

44%
29%
27%
York UnitedDrawAtlético Ottawa

2.25

44%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.75

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

30%

York United

3.33

20%

Atlético Ottawa

4.93

Win to Nil

13%

York United

7.51

5%

Atlético Ottawa

18.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 7.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 9.7 11.7 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.7 9.3 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.0 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.596
λ Away (xG) 1.204
Total xG 2.800
League avg home goals 1.795
League avg away goals 1.250
York United attack strength 1.241
York United defence strength 0.901
Atlético Ottawa attack strength 1.070
Atlético Ottawa defence strength 0.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50