Most Likely Outcome
Vancouver FC Win
49%
2.04
26%
3.84
25%
4.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.3%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
8.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.85
Vancouver FC xG
Total xG
3.14
1.29
Pacific FC xG
Vancouver FCDrawPacific FC
2.04
49%
Home win
3.84
26%
Draw
4.01
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.60
37%
BTTS No
2.68
Clean Sheet
28%
3.62
16%
6.37
Win to Nil
14%
7.38
4%
25.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 10.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.6 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.851
λ Away (xG)
1.286
Total xG
3.137
League avg home goals
1.810
League avg away goals
1.268
Vancouver FC attack strength
0.982
Vancouver FC defence strength
1.046
Pacific FC attack strength
0.970
Pacific FC defence strength
1.041
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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