Most Likely Outcome
Supra du Quebec Win
36%
2.74
28%
3.56
35%
2.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
8.5%
Home win
1 – 2
8.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.49
Supra du Quebec xG
Total xG
2.96
1.47
Forge xG
Supra du QuebecDrawForge
2.74
36%
Home win
3.56
28%
Draw
2.82
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.63
39%
BTTS No
2.59
Clean Sheet
23%
4.34
23%
4.44
Win to Nil
8%
11.91
8%
12.53
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 7.6 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 11.4 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.491
λ Away (xG)
1.468
Total xG
2.959
League avg home goals
1.811
League avg away goals
1.267
Supra du Quebec attack strength
0.850
Supra du Quebec defence strength
1.150
Forge attack strength
1.007
Forge defence strength
0.969
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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