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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Canadian Premier League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Wanderers Grounds

Competition

Canadian Premier League

Canada

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

HFX Wanderers FC Win

60%

HFX Wanderers FC

1.67

25%

Draw

3.94

15%

York United

6.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

HFX Wanderers FC xG

Total xG

2.70

0.83

York United xG

60%
25%
15%
HFX Wanderers FCDrawYork United

1.67

60%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

6.80

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

43%

HFX Wanderers FC

2.30

16%

York United

6.42

Win to Nil

26%

HFX Wanderers FC

3.85

2%

York United

43.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
1 12.6 10.5 4.4 1.2 0.3
2 11.7 9.8 4.1 1.1 0.2
3 7.2 6.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
4 3.4 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.860
λ Away (xG) 0.835
Total xG 2.695
League avg home goals 1.879
League avg away goals 1.139
HFX Wanderers FC attack strength 1.101
HFX Wanderers FC defence strength 0.852
York United attack strength 0.861
York United defence strength 0.899
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53