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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Monday 11 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Monday 11 March 2024. Chelsea vs Newcastle led the list at 66% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England 66%
Chelsea
3 : 2 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 61%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 48%
De Graafschap
0 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 47%
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
Groningen
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 45%
Helmond Sport
3 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 42%
FC Eindhoven
3 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 6 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Monday 11 March 2024?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Chelsea vs Newcastle at 66% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.