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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 1 March 2024

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 19 fixtures on Friday 1 March 2024. SC Freiburg vs Bayern München led the list at 68% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 40%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany 68%
SC Freiburg
2 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 62%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 57%
Khorfakkan
0 : 3 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 33%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 54%
Kasımpaşa
0 : 0 FT
Sivasspor
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 51%
Hertha BSC
2 : 2 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 51%
Ajman
2 : 0 FT
Emirates Club
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 51%
FC Volendam
2 : 5 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 14%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Super League Β· China 51%
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 50%
Al-Wasl FC
2 : 0 FT
Sharjah FC
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 50%
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 49%
FC Schalke 04
3 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 49%
Club Brugge II
2 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Super League Β· China 48%
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy 47%
Lazio
0 : 1 FT
AC Milan
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Super League Β· China 47%
Shandong Luneng
4 : 2 FT
Changchun Yatai
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 45%
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 43%
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 42%
Chaves
1 : 5 FT
Arouca
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#19 Premier League Β· Russia 40%
FC Rostov
2 : 0 FT
Krylia Sovetov
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%

Showing top 19 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 1 March 2024?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by SC Freiburg vs Bayern München at 68% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.