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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Thursday 28 September 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 28 September 2023. Granada CF vs Real Betis sits top on 64% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 64% down to 41%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 53%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain 64%
Granada CF
1 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 42%
Draw 22%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy 60%
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 37%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 55%
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 55%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 1 FT
Genk
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 53%
Hatta SC
0 : 3 FT
Al Nasr
Win 29%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland 53%
Lech Poznan
4 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden 51%
Trelleborg
2 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 51%
Sharjah FC
2 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 50%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Başakşehir
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy 49%
Genoa
4 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland 48%
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland 46%
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
FC Luzern
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium 45%
RWDM
2 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 29%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden 43%
GIF Sundsvall
2 : 2 FT
Gefle IF
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece 43%
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 4 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 43%
Estrela
2 : 4 FT
SC Braga
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden 41%
Orgryte IS
1 : 4 FT
Gais
Win 11%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 59%

Showing top 17 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Thursday 28 September 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Granada CF vs Real Betis at 64% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.