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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Friday 21 April 2023

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 21 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda at 59% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 59%
FC Eindhoven
1 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 56%
Helmond Sport
0 : 1 FT
Heracles
Win 35%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 53%
Club Brugge II
0 : 0 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 53%
KRC Genk II
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 52%
FC Volendam
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal 52%
Casa Pia
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 49%
Almere City FC
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium 48%
Dender
0 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 48%
Roda
0 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 47%
Hamburger SV
4 : 3 FT
FC St. Pauli
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Super League Β· China 47%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany 46%
FC Augsburg
1 : 1 FT
VfB Stuttgart
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Super League Β· China 46%
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 45%
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands 44%
Willem II
4 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 42%
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 1 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy 41%
Reggina
1 : 2 FT
Brescia
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 17 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Friday 21 April 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs NAC Breda at 59% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.