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BTTS & Over 2.5 Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest BTTS & over 2.5 probability β€” Tuesday 28 September 2021

BTTS & Over 2.5 needs both teams to score and at least 3 goals β€” 2–1, 2–2, 3–1 and so on. The two conditions are correlated, so our prediction model reads this straight from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets together. Only fixtures with 40%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Tuesday 28 September 2021. Morecambe vs Lincoln led the list at 60% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies four of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, one landed the BTTS and over 2.5 market — 14%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England 60%
Morecambe
2 : 0 FT
Lincoln
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#2 League One Β· England 53%
Rotherham
3 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 League One Β· England 45%
Ipswich
6 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates 44%
Al-Jazira
1 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 League One Β· England 42%
Charlton
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Championship Β· England 41%
QPR
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Championship Β· England 41%
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Stoke City
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 7 fixtures by BTTS & over 2.5 probability (a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

BTTS & Over 2.5 β€” common questions

What does the BTTS & Over 2.5 market mean?

BTTS & Over 2.5 settles on whether a match sees both teams score and at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate BTTS and over 2.5 probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The BTTS & over 2.5 probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where both sides score and the total reaches 3 or more — taken from the joint score matrix rather than multiplying the two markets, because they rise and fall together. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for BTTS & Over 2.5 on Tuesday 28 September 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Morecambe vs Lincoln at 60% BTTS & over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 40% or higher BTTS & over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these BTTS and over 2.5 predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.