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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

54%

Vitoria

1.85

27%

Draw

3.73

19%

Vasco DA Gama

5.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.37

0.82

Vasco DA Gama xG

54%
27%
19%
VitoriaDrawVasco DA Gama

1.85

54%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

5.21

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

44%

Vitoria

2.26

21%

Vasco DA Gama

4.70

Win to Nil

24%

Vitoria

4.19

4%

Vasco DA Gama

24.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 14.5 11.9 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.2 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 5.8 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.548
λ Away (xG) 0.817
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 0.836
Vitoria attack strength 0.982
Vitoria defence strength 1.163
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.840
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 45