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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

55%

Vitoria

1.82

31%

Draw

3.27

14%

Santos

6.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 0

12.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.12

0.65

Santos xG

55%
31%
14%
VitoriaDrawSantos

1.82

55%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

6.92

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

52%

Vitoria

1.92

23%

Santos

4.34

Win to Nil

29%

Vitoria

3.48

3%

Santos

30.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 7.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 17.7 11.5 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 13.0 8.4 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 6.3 4.1 1.3 0.3
4 2.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.468
λ Away (xG) 0.650
Total xG 2.118
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 0.835
Vitoria attack strength 1.009
Vitoria defence strength 1.156
Santos attack strength 0.674
Santos defence strength 1.067
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 9