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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

23:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

30%

Vitoria

3.36

31%

Draw

3.26

40%

Palmeiras

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.18

1.19

Palmeiras xG

30%
31%
40%
VitoriaDrawPalmeiras

3.36

30%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

30%

Vitoria

3.28

37%

Palmeiras

2.70

Win to Nil

9%

Vitoria

11.01

15%

Palmeiras

6.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 13.4 8.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 11.2 13.3 7.9 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 5.6 6.6 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.995
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.183
League avg home goals 1.264
League avg away goals 0.932
Vitoria attack strength 0.898
Vitoria defence strength 1.013
Palmeiras attack strength 1.258
Palmeiras defence strength 0.877
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 53