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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

40%

Vitoria

2.49

32%

Draw

3.10

28%

Mirassol

3.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.03

Vitoria xG

Total xG

1.83

0.80

Mirassol xG

40%
32%
28%
VitoriaDrawMirassol

2.49

40%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.62

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.82

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

45%

Vitoria

2.23

36%

Mirassol

2.81

Win to Nil

18%

Vitoria

5.54

10%

Mirassol

10.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.0 12.8 5.1 1.4 0.3
1 16.5 13.2 5.3 1.4 0.3
2 8.5 6.8 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 2.9 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.032
λ Away (xG) 0.800
Total xG 1.832
League avg home goals 1.481
League avg away goals 1.002
Vitoria attack strength 0.740
Vitoria defence strength 0.866
Mirassol attack strength 0.922
Mirassol defence strength 0.941
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 35