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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

70%

Vitoria

1.42

18%

Draw

5.43

11%

Juventude

8.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.89

0.73

Juventude xG

70%
18%
VitoriaDrawJuventude

1.42

70%

Home win

5.43

18%

Draw

8.87

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

48%

Vitoria

2.08

11%

Juventude

8.70

Win to Nil

34%

Vitoria

2.95

1%

Juventude

77.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 8.8 3.2 0.8 0.1
2 12.9 9.5 3.5 0.8 0.2
3 9.3 6.8 2.5 0.6 0.1
4 5.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.163
λ Away (xG) 0.731
Total xG 2.894
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.026
Vitoria attack strength 0.981
Vitoria defence strength 1.053
Juventude attack strength 0.676
Juventude defence strength 1.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 55