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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 4 Dec 2024

23:00

Venue

Estádio Manoel Barradas

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

36%

Vitoria

2.79

33%

Draw

3.07

32%

Gremio

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.17

1.04

Gremio xG

36%
33%
32%
VitoriaDrawGremio

2.79

36%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

35%

Vitoria

2.84

32%

Gremio

3.09

Win to Nil

13%

Vitoria

7.92

10%

Gremio

9.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.9 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.9 13.4 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.6 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.127
λ Away (xG) 1.043
Total xG 2.170
League avg home goals 1.348
League avg away goals 1.031
Vitoria attack strength 0.890
Vitoria defence strength 1.043
Gremio attack strength 0.970
Gremio defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 74