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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Thu 17 Apr 2025

01:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

40%

Vitoria

2.51

32%

Draw

3.08

28%

Fortaleza EC

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.43

1.09

Fortaleza EC xG

40%
32%
28%
VitoriaDrawFortaleza EC

2.51

40%

Home win

3.08

32%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

34%

Vitoria

2.97

26%

Fortaleza EC

3.82

Win to Nil

13%

Vitoria

7.48

7%

Fortaleza EC

13.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.8 12.9 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.5 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 1.090
Total xG 2.430
League avg home goals 1.363
League avg away goals 0.953
Vitoria attack strength 0.983
Vitoria defence strength 1.102
Fortaleza EC attack strength 1.038
Fortaleza EC defence strength 1.000
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41