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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Barradao

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

47%

Vitoria

2.12

27%

Draw

3.65

25%

Bahia

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Vitoria xG

Total xG

2.33

0.94

Bahia xG

47%
27%
25%
VitoriaDrawBahia

2.12

47%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

39%

Vitoria

2.57

25%

Bahia

4.01

Win to Nil

18%

Vitoria

5.44

6%

Bahia

15.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 9.2 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.5 12.7 6.0 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.389
λ Away (xG) 0.942
Total xG 2.331
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.029
Vitoria attack strength 0.837
Vitoria defence strength 0.959
Bahia attack strength 0.955
Bahia defence strength 1.146
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64