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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

71%

Vasco DA Gama

1.40

17%

Draw

5.78

11%

Vitoria

8.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.33

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

3.14

0.81

Vitoria xG

71%
17%
Vasco DA GamaDrawVitoria

1.40

71%

Home win

5.78

17%

Draw

8.77

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

44%

Vasco DA Gama

2.25

10%

Vitoria

10.25

Win to Nil

32%

Vasco DA Gama

3.16

1%

Vitoria

89.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
2 11.7 9.5 3.9 1.0 0.2
3 9.1 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
4 5.3 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
5 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.327
λ Away (xG) 0.813
Total xG 3.140
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 0.992
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.174
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.174
Vitoria attack strength 0.698
Vitoria defence strength 1.440
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64